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2026 Cycle

House Battlegrounds

The competitive districts that will decide House control, anchored by the national Generic Congressional Ballot frame.

Live · 2026 House Control

Democrats favored

R 9.5%

D 90.5%

National Generic Ballot

Generic Congressional Ballot · National

D +7.2

Average of 4 public polls · as of Oct 4, 2026

Polling data: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)

Competitive

22 races

Toss-up frames — the races that will decide control.

Pennsylvania · PA-07
EVEN

Mackenzie (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Lehigh Valley perennial battleground.

Pennsylvania · PA-08
EVEN

Bresnahan (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

NEPA district Trump carried; freshman defense.

Pennsylvania · PA-10
R

Perry (R) vs. Democratic nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Harrisburg-area seat Democrats target every cycle.

Michigan · MI-07
EVEN

Barrett (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Lansing-based toss-up.

Michigan · MI-08
EVEN

James seat (open — running for Governor)

Toss-upOutlook

Open battleground seat.

Arizona · AZ-01
EVEN

Schweikert (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Scottsdale-area seat decided by points each cycle.

Arizona · AZ-06
EVEN

Ciscomani (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Tucson-area rematch territory.

Nebraska · NE-02
EVEN

Open seat (Bacon retiring)

Toss-upOutlook

Omaha 'blue dot' seat, open for the first time in a decade.

New York · NY-17
EVEN

Lawler seat

Toss-upOutlook

Hudson Valley battleground.

New York · NY-19
EVEN

Molinaro-held territory

Toss-upOutlook

Upstate toss-up.

California · CA-13
EVEN

Duarte/Gray territory

Toss-upOutlook

Central Valley seat decided by hundreds of votes.

California · CA-27
D

Whitesides (D) vs. GOP nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

North LA County swing seat.

Virginia · VA-02
R

Kiggans (R) vs. Democratic nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Hampton Roads military-heavy district.

Wisconsin · WI-03
R

Van Orden (R) vs. Democratic nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Western Wisconsin battleground.

Colorado · CO-08
EVEN

Evans (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Colorado's newest and closest district.

Iowa · IA-01
EVEN

Miller-Meeks (R) vs. Democratic nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Decided by under a point in consecutive cycles.

Iowa · IA-03
R

Nunn (R) vs. Democratic nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Des Moines-area battleground.

Ohio · OH-09
D

Kaptur (D) vs. GOP nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Trump-district Democrat; top GOP target.

Ohio · OH-13
EVEN

Sykes (D) vs. GOP nominee

Toss-upOutlook

Akron-area toss-up.

Washington · WA-03
D

Gluesenkamp Perez (D) vs. GOP nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Trump-district Democrat with crossover brand.

Maine · ME-02
EVEN

Golden seat (open — running for Governor race watch)

Toss-upOutlook

Trump-won district; status of incumbency in flux.

North Carolina · NC-01
D

Davis (D) vs. GOP nominee

No public polls yetOutlook

Northeastern NC seat redrawn toward the GOP.

District list reflects the most competitive seats of the 2026 cycle and updates as retirements, redistricting, and recruitment develop. See our methodology for inclusion criteria.

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