Who We Are
About Precision Polling and Research
Bets, polls and people, combined into one honest number.
A new kind of polling company
Polls alone have missed badly in recent elections, and prediction markets alone can be thin or swing on a few big trades. Precision Polling and Research is built on a simple idea: no single source sees the whole picture, so we put them side by side, weigh them in the open, and publish one combined forecast for every race that matters.
Today that forecast blends the prediction markets with the public poll average. From December 2026 it adds a third voice: our own panel of verified American members, paid for their time and rewarded for helping the panel grow.
Three sources, one number
What people bet
Live prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and PredictIt. Traders with money on the line react to news within minutes.
What pollsters measure
The average of public polls for each race. Polls ask voters directly and anchor the markets when they drift.
What our members say
A panel of verified American adults, paid for each poll they complete. Our own polling starts when the panel launches in December 2026.
The result is the Precision Combined number: one win chance and one set of odds per race, with every weight published. See it in the Race Center, read how it’s calculated, or read the research on markets versus polls.
The Precision model
Three ways of reading America, one number, graded in public
What people bet
Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt prices
Fast, money on the line. Can be thin.
What pollsters measure
The public poll average
Asks voters directly. Lags the news.
What our members say
- 1. One verified person, one account
- 2. Answer, then predict how other members answer
- 3. Surprisingly common answers earn a bonus; invented ones don’t
Weighted in the open
Precision Combined
Weighted per race by the Precision Funnel™, every weight and reason published
What proves it
Public Brier scorecard
Every forecast saved daily, graded after the race is called, beside each source alone
A concept diagram, not a literal formula. Today the Precision Combined number blends markets and polls; member surveys join from December 2026, weighted by the same published Precision Funnel rule as every other source. Exact method · Scorecard · FAQ
Where we are today
- Live now: the Race Center, comparing Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt and the poll average for every tracked Senate, governor and House race.
- Early November 2026: founding-member pre-registration opens.
- December 2026: the member panel launches and our first own polls are fielded and published with full toplines and methodology.
We have not fielded a poll of our own yet, and we will never show a number as ours until we have.
Members, paid polls and Precision Tokens
We think the people who answer polls should share in their value. Verified members will be paid for each completed poll. Founding members also earn Precision Tokens for joining, for taking the Founding Poll and for inviting friends.
During pre-registration Precision Tokens are locked: they cannot be sold, transferred or redeemed and have no cash value. Any future way to redeem or trade them would come only through an offering made under U.S. securities law, which may never happen. Nothing on this site is an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security.
Join the founding-member list →Independent by design
Precision Polling and Research is an independent company. We are not owned by, funded by, or affiliated with any campaign, party committee, or media organization. That independence lets us publish what we measure, whether or not it is convenient. We credit every outside source we show and link back to it.
Precision Polling and Research maintains research operations in Cambridge, Massachusetts (Kendall Square). Our founding team will be named at launch.
How we work
- Every source credited, every weight published, every change to the method dated
- Market prices shown as the platforms report them, next to our adjusted number
- Member polls fielded to a verified U.S. adult panel and released with full disclosure
- Strict independence and legal firewalls when working with political clients
Our methodology is published in full so anyone can evaluate our work.
Precision Polling and Research aligns its research practices with the standards of the leading professional bodies in public opinion and insights research. Formal membership applications are pending as the firm scales.
American Association for Public Opinion Research
AAPOR is the leading professional organization for public opinion and survey research in the United States. Its Code of Professional Ethics and Practices and Transparency Initiative set the disclosure standards our published research follows.
aapor.org →Insights Association
The Insights Association is the U.S. trade association for the market research and data analytics industry. Its Code of Standards and Ethics governs respondent protection, data integrity, and responsible research conduct.
insightsassociation.org →Membership status will be updated on this page as formal affiliations are completed.
Work with us
Whether you need a single survey or a full research program, we'd like to hear about it.
Get in Touch