2026 Cycle
Governor Races
The 2026 gubernatorial map — a historic number of open seats from term limits — with live prediction-market odds on each race alongside averages of public polls.
Competitive
10 racesToss-up frames — the races that will decide control.
Rick Jackson (R) vs. Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
52.5% ▼ 1Market Odds
Rick Jackson (R)
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 47.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Jackson +1.6
Jackson 49.8 · Bottoms 48.2 · 3 polls · as of Oct 3, 2026
Open seat in the marquee battleground state.
Aaron Ford (D) vs. Joe Lombardo (R)
54.5% Market Odds
Aaron Ford (D)
Joe Lombardo (R) 45.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Lombardo +1.0
Lombardo 38 · Ford 37 · 1 poll · as of Sep 26, 2026
GOP incumbent in a purple state.
David Crowley (D) vs. Tom Tiffany (R)
80.5% Market Odds
David Crowley (D)
Tom Tiffany (R) 19.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Crowley +4.0
Crowley 49 · Tiffany 45 · 2 polls · as of Oct 1, 2026
Open seat in a 50/50 state.
Jocelyn Benson (D) vs. John James (R)
93.9% Market Odds
Jocelyn Benson (D)
John James (R) 6.3% · Independent 0.1%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Benson +8.3
Benson 49.6 · James 41.3 · 9 polls · as of Oct 27, 2026
Open battleground seat; three-way dynamics possible.
Katie Hobbs (D) vs. Andy Biggs (R)
88.5% Market Odds
Katie Hobbs (D)
Andy Biggs (R) 11.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Hobbs +6.0
Hobbs 49 · Biggs 43 · 1 poll · as of Oct 9, 2026
First-term Democratic incumbent in a swing state.
Josh Shapiro (D) vs. Stacy Garrity (R)
98% ▲ 0.6Market Odds
Josh Shapiro (D)
Stacy Garrity (R) 1.9%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Shapiro +22.0
Shapiro 55.3 · Garrity 33.3 · 3 polls · as of Oct 1, 2026
Popular incumbent, but PA stays on the board.
Ty Masterson (R) vs. Cindy Holscher (D)
74.5% Market Odds
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D) 24.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Masterson +5.4
Masterson 50.7 · Holscher 45.3 · 3 polls · as of Sep 30, 2026
Open seat Democrats currently hold in a red state.
Hannah Pingree (D) vs. Robert Charles (R)
95.9% ▲ 0.3Market Odds
Hannah Pingree (D)
Robert Charles (R) 3.9%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Pingree +11.2
Pingree 49.1 · Charles 37.9 · 7 polls · as of Oct 5, 2026
Deb Haaland (D) vs. Gregg Hull (R)
90.5% Market Odds
Deb Haaland (D)
Gregg Hull (R) 7.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Haaland +17.0
Haaland 41 · Hull 24 · 1 poll · as of Aug 7, 2026
Open seat; GOP targets it in a good environment.
Amy Klobuchar (D) vs. Lisa Demuth (R)
95.5% Market Odds
Amy Klobuchar (D)
Lisa Demuth (R) 5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Flanagan +6.0
Flanagan 53 · Klobuchar 47 · 2 polls · as of Oct 4, 2026
Incumbent seeking a third term.
Leaning
10 racesAn edge to one party, but on the board.
Byron Donalds (R) vs. David Jolly (D)
78.5% Market Odds
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D) 20.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Donalds +5.0
Donalds 48.5 · Jolly 43.5 · 4 polls · as of Oct 7, 2026
Amy Acton (D) vs. Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
69.5% ▲ 2Market Odds
Amy Acton (D)
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 30.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Acton +3.9
Acton 48.1 · Ramaswamy 44.2 · 6 polls · as of Oct 6, 2026
Greg Abbott (R) vs. Gina Hinojosa (D)
79.5% Market Odds
Greg Abbott (R)
Gina Hinojosa (D) 20.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Abbott +2.7
Abbott 48.6 · Hinojosa 45.9 · 7 polls · as of Sep 30, 2026
Incumbent seeking a fourth term.
Rob Sand (D) vs. Zach Lahn (R)
88.5% ▲ 2Market Odds
Rob Sand (D)
Zach Lahn (R) 11.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Sand +8.1
Sand 50.8 · Lahn 42.7 · 6 polls · as of Oct 6, 2026
Open seat leans Republican.
Ayotte (R)
Ayotte +7.5Poll Average
Ayotte 49.5 · Warmington 42 · 2 polls · as of Sep 22, 2026
First-term incumbent.
Phil Scott (R) vs. Amanda Janoo (D)
74.5% Market Odds
Phil Scott (R)
Amanda Janoo (D) 24.1%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Janoo +6.0
Janoo 49 · Scott 43 · 1 poll · as of Sep 21, 2026
Popular GOP incumbent in a blue state.
Phil Weiser (D) vs. Victor Marx (R)
97.1% Market Odds
Phil Weiser (D)
Victor Marx (R) 2.8%
Live · Prediction market
Open seat leans Democratic.
Tina Kotek (D) vs. Christine Drazan (R)
75.5% ▼ 2Market Odds
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R) 24.5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Kotek +2.0
Kotek 46 · Drazan 44 · 1 poll · as of Oct 1, 2026
Leans Democratic.
Kathy Hochul (D) vs. Bruce Blakeman (R)
95.9% ▲ 0.1Market Odds
Kathy Hochul (D)
Bruce Blakeman (R) 4.2%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Hochul +12.9
Hochul 52.8 · Blakeman 39.9 · 3 polls · as of Oct 5, 2026
GOP aims to repeat 2022's close margin.
Xavier Becerra vs. Steve Hilton
96.1% ▲ 0.1Market Odds
Xavier Becerra
Steve Hilton 3.7% · Tom Steyer 0.2%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Becerra +21.7
Becerra 55.7 · Hilton 34 · 3 polls · as of Sep 20, 2026
Safe
15 racesStrongly favored for the incumbent party.
Tommy Tuberville (R) vs. Doug Jones (D)
93.8% ▲ 1.4Market Odds
Tommy Tuberville (R)
Doug Jones (D) 6.3%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Tuberville +13.0
Tuberville 50 · Jones 37 · 1 poll · as of Sep 25, 2026
Safe Republican.
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) vs. Fredrick Love (D)
96.7% Market Odds
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
Fredrick Love (D) 1.8%
Live · Prediction market
Safe Republican.
Brad Little (R) vs. Terri Pickens (D)
97.4% ▼ 0.4Market Odds
Brad Little (R)
Terri Pickens (D) 2.4%
Live · Prediction market
Safe Republican.
Jim Pillen (R) vs. Lynne Walz (D)
89.5% Market Odds
Jim Pillen (R)
Lynne Walz (D) 9.5%
Live · Prediction market
Safe Republican.
Mike Mazzei (R) vs. Cyndi Munson (D)
92.5% Market Odds
Mike Mazzei (R)
Cyndi Munson (D) 7.5%
Live · Prediction market
Alan Wilson (R) vs. Jermaine Johnson (D)
94.5% Market Odds
Alan Wilson (R)
Jermaine Johnson (D) 4.9%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Wilson +8.0
Wilson 45 · Johnson 37 · 1 poll · as of Jul 17, 2026
Larry Rhoden (R) vs. Dan Ahlers (D)
98.1% ▲ 1.4Market Odds
Larry Rhoden (R)
Dan Ahlers (D) 2%
Live · Prediction market
Safe Republican.
Marsha Blackburn (R) vs. Jerri Green (D)
94.3% ▼ 0.1Market Odds
Marsha Blackburn (R)
Jerri Green (D) 5%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Blackburn +11.0
Blackburn 45.5 · Green 34.5 · 2 polls · as of Sep 12, 2026
Eric Barlow (R) vs. Kenneth Casner (D)
97.8% ▲ 0.3Market Odds
Eric Barlow (R)
Kenneth Casner (D) 1.7%
Live · Prediction market
Safe Republican.
Ned Lamont (D) vs. Ryan Fazio (R)
96.7% ▲ 0.5Market Odds
Ned Lamont (D)
Ryan Fazio (R) 3.2%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Lamont +17.0
Lamont 55 · Fazio 38 · 1 poll · as of Sep 21, 2026
Safe Democratic.
Josh Green (D) vs. Gary Cordery (R)
99.4% ▲ 0.5Market Odds
Josh Green (D)
Gary Cordery (R) 0.7%
Live · Prediction market
Safe Democratic.
JB Pritzker (D) vs. Darren Bailey (R)
97.4% ▼ 0.2Market Odds
JB Pritzker (D)
Darren Bailey (R) 2.8%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Pritzker +20.0
Pritzker 54 · Bailey 34 · 1 poll · as of Oct 1, 2026
Safe Democratic.
Wes Moore (D) vs. Dan Cox (R)
98.1% ▼ 0.2Market Odds
Wes Moore (D)
Dan Cox (R) 1.8%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Moore +27.0
Moore 51 · Cox 24 · 1 poll · as of Sep 27, 2026
Safe Democratic.
Maura Healey (D) vs. Michael Minogue (R)
95.9% ▲ 0.1Market Odds
Maura Healey (D)
Michael Minogue (R) 4.2%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Healy +18.5
Healy 52.5 · Minogue 34 · 2 polls · as of Sep 22, 2026
Safe Democratic.
Helena Foulkes (D) vs. Republican
97.4% ▲ 0.1Market Odds
Helena Foulkes (D)
Republican 2% · Independent 0.9%
Live · Prediction market
Polls: Foulkes +19.0
Foulkes 44 · Block 25 · 1 poll · as of Sep 21, 2026
Primaries Still Active
4 racesNomination battles we are tracking before the general.
Donalds vs. field
No public polls yetOutlook
Race to succeed DeSantis.
Open-seat fields
No public polls yetOutlook
Both parties' fields still forming.
Open-seat fields
No public polls yetOutlook
Contested primaries on both sides.
Open-seat fields
No public polls yetOutlook
Open seat draws deep fields.
Polling data: VoteHub (CC BY 4.0)
Live market odds are streaming on 34 races and refresh continuously with trading. Market odds reflect implied probabilities from prediction-market participants and do not constitute a Precision poll or forecast. Averages marked “Pending” will populate as qualifying polling becomes available. See our methodology for inclusion criteria.