Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party63.5%Yes 64¢No 37¢
Republican Party36.5%Yes 37¢No 64¢
$6.5m Vol.View on Polymarket →
Market Signals
Prediction Markets Dashboard
Live odds from Polymarket, PredictIt, and Kalshi — and when both are trading the same race, we line them up head to head. Prices reflect the implied probability assigned by market participants.
Control of Congress · Kalshi
Which party wins each chamber in November 2026, priced by Kalshi traders.
Market odds: Kalshi · last traded price, refreshed every 5 minutes
Head to Head
Same race · Polymarket vs. PredictIt · LiveWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
Who will control the Senate after 2026?
Democratic64¢
Republican39¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Jon Ossoff (D) 96.2%Yes 96¢No 4¢
Mike Collins (R)3.7%▼0.2Yes 4¢No 96¢
$231k Vol.View on Polymarket →
Georgia Senate party winner?
Dems (Ossoff)94¢
GOP (Collins)▼1¢6¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party90.5%Yes 91¢No 9¢
- Republican Party9.5%Yes 10¢No 91¢
$17.0m Vol.View on Polymarket →
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic▼1¢89¢
Republican12¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)70.5%Yes 71¢No 30¢
Mike Rogers (R)30.5%Yes 31¢No 70¢
$1.6m Vol.View on Polymarket →
Michigan Senate party winner?
Democratic▼1¢67¢
Republican▲1¢34¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Maine Senate Election Winner
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)59.5%Yes 60¢No 41¢
Susan Collins (R)41.5%Yes 42¢No 59¢
$2.2m Vol.View on Polymarket →
Maine Senate party winner?
Dems (Jackson)▲1¢56¢
GOP (Collins)▼1¢45¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Roy Cooper (D)95.8%Yes 96¢No 4¢
Michael Whatley (R)4.2%▼0.1Yes 4¢No 96¢
$223k Vol.View on Polymarket →
North Carolina Senate party winner?
Democratic▼1¢94¢
Republican▼2¢4¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Chris Pappas (D)88.5%Yes 89¢No 12¢
John E. Sununu (R)12.5%▲1Yes 13¢No 88¢
$330k Vol.View on Polymarket →
New Hampshire Senate party winner?
Dems (Pappas)86¢
GOP (Sununu)14¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Peggy Flanagan (D)87.5%▲1Yes 88¢No 13¢
Michele Tafoya (R)12.5%▼1Yes 13¢No 88¢
$261k Vol.View on Polymarket →
Minnesota Senate party winner?
- Democratic86¢
- Republican▼2¢14¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Polymarket
Highest 24h volume in politics · Live public API
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?
December 3118%▲1Yes 18¢No 82¢
October 316%▼0.5Yes 6¢No 94¢
$22k Vol.View on Polymarket →
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Thom Tillis10.5%▲0.5Yes 11¢No 90¢
- Mike Lee9.2%▼0.1Yes 9¢No 91¢
- Raphael Warnock9%Yes 9¢No 91¢
- Catherine Cortez Masto8.5%▼1Yes 9¢No 92¢
$312k Vol. · Top 4 of 15View on Polymarket →
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Yes15.5%▲2.5Yes 16¢No 85¢
- No84.5%▼2.5Yes 85¢No 16¢
$39k Vol.View on Polymarket →
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 507%Yes 7¢No 93¢
- Above 607%Yes 7¢No 93¢
- Above 556.5%Yes 7¢No 94¢
- Above 626.1%Yes 6¢No 94¢
$137k Vol. · Top 4 of 8View on Polymarket →
PredictIt
Classic political race contracts · Live public API
Republican House Seats won in midterms?
192 or fewer▲3¢32¢- 193 to 197▲2¢19¢
- 198 to 202▲1¢18¢
- 203 to 207▼2¢15¢
Top 4 of 11 contractsView on PredictIt →
Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
Vance40¢
Rubio19¢
DeSantis4¢
Trump3¢
Top 4 of 14 contractsView on PredictIt →
Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
- Ossoff19¢
AOC15¢
Newsom14¢
Buttigieg8¢
Top 4 of 17 contractsView on PredictIt →
GOP Senate seats after 2026 midterms?
47 or fewer36¢- 4819¢
- 49▲1¢15¢
- 50▼1¢14¢
Top 4 of 11 contractsView on PredictIt →
California governor winner?
Becerra▼2¢95¢
Hilton4¢
Harris1¢
Atkins1¢
Top 4 of 15 contractsView on PredictIt →
2028 US presidential election winner?
- Vance19¢
- Ossoff13¢
- AOC▼2¢12¢
- Newsom9¢
Top 4 of 13 contractsView on PredictIt →
Nebraska Senate party winner?
- Republican74¢
Independent▼1¢27¢- Democratic1¢
3 contractsView on PredictIt →
Texas Senate party winner?
Dems (Talarico)60¢
GOP (Paxton)▼1¢41¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Virginia Senate party winner?
- Democratic97¢
- Republican2¢
2 contractsView on PredictIt →
Market data is provided by Polymarket and PredictIt and does not constitute a poll, forecast, or endorsement by Precision Polling and Research. Prices show the last trade or best buy of the leading contract as an implied probability, and odds move continuously with trading. PredictIt data is used non-commercially with attribution.
Community Forecasts · Manifold
Play-money forecasts from Manifold’s most-traded 2026 politics questions. Useful as a crowd signal; no real money is at stake.
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
7%
chance · 644 forecasters
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
36%
chance · 611 forecasters
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
64%
chance · 338 forecasters
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
62%
chance · 327 forecasters
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
94%
chance · 112 forecasters
Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
27%
chance · 111 forecasters
Forecasts: Manifold · refreshed every 10 minutes
Where this data comes from
- Polymarket · real-money market, public Gamma API, refreshed every 5 minutes
- PredictIt · real-money market, public market-data feed, refreshed every 5 minutes
- Kalshi · CFTC-regulated exchange, public market-data API, refreshed every 5 minutes
- Manifold · play-money community forecasts, public API, refreshed every 10 minutes
Prices are each platform’s last traded price and reflect what traders expect, not a poll of voters.